AFL DFS Top Plays offers an informed analysis of each game to highlight notable players.
Game:
Richmond v St Kilda (Metricon Stadium), Friday 9th October 7:50pm AEST
Betting:
Richmond $1.28 -20.5 St Kilda $3.75
Weather:
🌦 2020 AFL Weather Forecast: Week 2 Finals
Main GPP’s: DK US$6K, DS A$75K
Article by @aflratingsPete
Richmond
Dion Prestia RIC (DK $7,200, DS $13,400)Â returned from a long term injury last week scoring 61pts against the Lions, he averaged 75.6pts from his opening 5 games of the season.Â
Prestia was used at just 47.6% of team CBA’s (lowest usage for the 2020 season) last week, he is expected to see a significant increase in centre bounce usage on Friday night against the Saints.
With the increased workload expect the scores to tick over at a higher rate for Prestia this week.
St Kilda
With the injury to Paddy Ryder the ruck usage for Rowan Marshall STK (DK $7,000, DS $14,290) should be significantly increased on Friday night, he averaged 98.7pts* last season but has slightly regressed this year due to the dual ruck set-up preferred by Saints coach Brett Ratten.Â
Marshall is averaging 76.5pts this season, he has averaged 79.0pts when used as solo ruck this season (4 games).
Richmond are a team that leaks scores to opposition rucks, a ceiling type game is likely in play on Friday night.Â
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Value
Marlion Pickett RICÂ (DK $5,300, DS $9,620) is an option worth considering on Friday night, his point splits are clearly noteworthy in Richmond wins.Â
Pickett has averaged 53.5pts from 16 games in 2020, he has averaged 58.7pts in Richmond wins. When the Tigers have won by 40pts or more this season he has averaged 69.0pts.Â
The Tigers are strong favourites on Friday night against the Saints, if the game script plays out that way building a line-up with Pickett involved does have upside & also provides salary relief for premium options.Â
*AFL Games at 20min plus time on per Qtr.
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