AFL FANTASY ANALYSIS
After an injury interrupted start to the 2018 H&A season Mitch Duncan put together another solid fantasy year, after scoring 110pts in Round 1 he missed the next 2 weeks with a Hamstring injury and returned in Round 4 and averaged 101.3pts from the following 9 games. Duncan continued his consistency for the remaining 10 games of the H&A season by averaging 101.5pts, he scored 82pts in an Elimination Final loss to Melbourne.
Duncan scored 100pts or more in 61.9% of games & 120pts or more from 9.5% of games in 2018, this was a moderate reduction compared to 2017.
In 2017 Duncan had a breakout season averaging 115.2pts (Incl. Finals), the addition of Gary Ablett & the emergence of Tim Kelly has likely had a negative impact on the fantasy production for Duncan.
The Cats have a pretty stacked Midfield again in 2019, finding the right option to select for a breakout season will be difficult for fantasy coaches.
AFL Fantasy Analysis: Patrick Dangerfield
Geelong averaged 382.7 Disposals in the 2018 H&A season (Rank 6), the Cats averaged 384.4 Disposals in the 2017 H&A season (Rank 10).
Considering the options available in the Geelong Midfield it would appear Duncan is appropriately priced to begin the 2019 H&A season, if there are any long term injuries to premium options then that could result in a bump in production next season for Duncan but for now he is likely a pass based on value.
Duncan will likely be on the light side for ownership to begin 2019, he is worth considering but definitely not as a priority.
