AFL DFS Top Plays offers an informed analysis of each game to highlight notable players.
Game: Geelong v Collingwood (Optus Stadium), Thursday 16th July 8:10pm AEST
Betting: Geelong $2.00 Collingwood $1.85 -2.5
Weather:
🌦 2020 AFL Weather Forecast: Round 7
Main GPP’s: DK US$20K, DS A$100K
Article by @aflratingsPete
Geelong
Patrick Dangerfield (DK $7,400, DS $14,430) scored a season high 102pts last week against Brisbane, in 2 games last year he averaged 29.5 Disposals* (104.5pts) against Collingwood.
Dangerfield was used at an equal team high 81.0% of team CBA’s last week, he has been used at 76.7% of team CBA’s this season.
Ownership for Dangerfield will likely be on the high side given his moderate salary.
Collingwood
Adam Treloar (DK $8,100, DS $15,140) has averaged 32.5 Disposals from his first 2 games of the season (98.0pts), he increased to 64.3% of team CBA’s last week and again will be utilised at a high rate through the midfield on Thursday night.
In 2 games last season Treloar averaged 121.5pts* against the Cats, if left unattended a ceiling game is always possible.
Geelong are conceding a league best 251.3 Disposals this season, Collingwood are recording a league best 328.8 Disposals this season. Despite the ability for Geelong to restrict opposition teams Treloar should still find enough of the ball, expected wet conditions shouldn’t hinder his out too much.
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Value
Jack Steven (DK $4,800, DS $10,200) was managed last week so heading into Round 7 he should be relatively fresh, he recorded 17 Disposals (71pts) in Round 5 and was used a little bit through the midfield (CBA’s: 16.0%).
The scoring ability for Steven should allow him to exceed value on Thursday night, ownership could also be on the high side against Collingwood.
Being able to roster Steven in the forward line will allow for other premium Mids to be selected.
*AFL Games at 20min plus time on per Qtr.
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