AFL DFS Top Plays offers an informed analysis of each game to highlight notable players.
Games:
Collingwood v Sydney (Gabba), Thursday 6th August 5:40pm AEST
Gold Coast v St Kilda (Metricon Stadium), Thursday 6th August 8:10pm AEST
Betting:
Collingwood $1.30 -18.5 Sydney $3.65
Gold Coast $2.70 St Kilda $1.49 -12.5
Weather:
🌦 2020 AFL Weather Forecast: Round 10
Main GPP’s: DK US$6K, DS A$50K
Article by @aflratingsPete
Sydney
In a season where defenders have been hit & miss Jake Lloyd SYD (DK $7,500, DS $15,130)Â has provided a fair amount of consistency in comparison, he has averaged 90.8pts from his last 5 games with a season average of 85.3pts.
The game style for Sydney allows for a high Inside 50 rate from opposing teams, the Swans have been ranked in the bottom 3 for Inside 50s conceded between Rounds 5-9 with an Inside 50 Differential at -13.0 over the same period (Rank 18).
The Magpies have consistently entered Inside 50 more than their opponents this season, they are ranked 4th with a +7.9 Inside 50 Differential.
If the ball is going to live inside the Collingwood forward 50 on Thursday you would expect Jake Lloyd to be utilised quite often to exit the area, a ceiling game is in play for Loyd if the game flow plays out as expected.
St Kilda
Saints coach Brett Ratten has allowed Jack Steele STKÂ (DK $8,000, DS $16,180) to hunt the ball this season rather than opposing midfielders which has seen an increase in fantasy output, he has averaged 84.8pts from his last 4 games with a season average of 89.4pts.
The Suns have regressed in recent games, they have conceded an average of 331.0 Disposals from their last 2 games (Rank 17).
With other premium midfield options in play for Thursday the ownership for Steele may be lower than expected with a good match-up, he is worth considering for your line-ups as a tier 1 midfield option.
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Value
Brayden Sier COLL (DK $4,700, DS $6,870) returned just 40pts in his first game of the season for the Magpies in Round 9, his salary remains low enough for another investment in Round 10 against the Swans on Thursday.
The potential for Sier to exceed salary remains high, after being used at 35.0% of CBA’s against Fremantle on Sunday his midfield usage should be decent enough against the Swans.
Many will opt out of playing Sier again for fear of another below standard type score for a midfielder, with an expected lower ownership he is an ideal play on Thursday.
Sier was 81% owned in Round 9 on DS ($60K+ Sunday Tournament).
*AFL Games at 20min plus time on per Qtr.
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