AFL Fantasy Analysis: Bailey Smith

AFL Fantasy Analysis: Bailey Smith will be entering his prime at the age of 22 to start the 2023 AFL season.

He was selected at pick 7 in the 2018 AFL Draft and has arguably more value after 84 AFL games.

Smith averaged 104.4pts from 17 games last season which included an average of 118.4pts from his opening 9 games. 

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2022 Season
Disposals: 29.1
Marks: 3.7
Tackles: 3.8
Goals: 0.3

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His centre bounce usage is likely to increase with the departure of Josh Dunkley to Brisbane, Smith was used at 53.7% of centre bounces in games he played last season. 

Smith showed a high-ceiling fantasy game in the early part of the 2022 season, his opportunities as a pure midfielder should continue to provide an excellent environment to score especially if the Bulldogs continue to share the ball around.

2022 Season 
100pts or more: 64.7% (2021: 26.9%)
120pts or more: 17.6% (2021: 15.4%)
Game Time: 88.5%
PPM: 1.18

A strong pre-season would provide a great platform to thrive in 2023.

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2023 Bailey Smith Outlook

Season long fantasy: He’s a genuine consideration to start with at Round 1.

Single season draft leagues: He’s likely a first round option.

DFS: He should be a roster consideration especially in optimal situations. 

Article by @aflratingsPete

Image: Western Bulldogs

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