AFL DFS Top Plays offers an informed analysis of each game to highlight notable players.
Games:
St Kilda v Geelong (Gabba), Monday 10th August 6:10pm AEST
Fremantle v Hawthorn (Optus Stadium), Monday 10th August 8:40pm AEST
Betting:
St Kilda $2.50 Geelong $1.56 -8.5
Fremantle $2.15 Hawthorn $1.74 -4.5
Weather:
🌦 2020 AFL Weather Forecast: Round 11
Main GPP’s: DK US$8K, DS A$50K
Article by @aflratingsPete
Geelong
Patrick Dangerfield GEE (DK $7,200, DS $14,450)Â played mostly forward last week, Geelong coach Chris Scott has been open utilising roles to manage his players through a condensed fixture.
The match-up against St Kilda on Monday night is critical for both teams chasing a Finals position, there will likely be no in-game management for Dangerfield with a good chance he will return to the midfield.
Dangerfield recorded 32 Disposals, 4 Marks, 7 Tackles & 1 Goal (123pts*) against the Saints last year, with the potential for lower than expected ownership due to his role last week this could provide an opportunity to take advantage of recency bias.
Hawthorn
Tom Mitchell HAW (DK $7,200, DS $14,310)Â scored a season high 107pts in Round 9 prior to the Hawthorn Bye, in that game he recorded 28 Disposals but more importantly an equal season high 8 Tackles.
Mitchell had a shoulder issue earlier this season, he averaged 1.5 Tackles in Rounds 5 & 6 but over his last 3 games that average has increased to 6.0 Tackles per game.
The rest period although shorter than a normal season will no doubt freshen up Mitchell, the Dockers were strong in contested possessions against Collingwood in Round 9.
Expected wet conditions should make for a contested type game on Monday night, if the game script plays out that way Mitchell should be highly considered especially with his enormous ceiling.
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Value
After missing the 2019 season with injury Jack Bytel STKÂ (DK $2,600, DS $5,000) will make his AFL debut in Round 11.
In his final year at U18 level (2018) before being drafted Bytel averaged 22.2 Disposals, 2.7 Marks & 6.2 Tackles, his season was cut short by injury but he was still selected at Pick 41 in the 2018 AFL Draft by the Saints.
Ownership will be high for Bytel, if he can play through the midfield or anywhere between the 50m arcs his potential to crush his salary expectation is high.
*AFL Games at 20min plus time on per Qtr.
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