AFL DFS Top Plays offers an informed analysis of each game to highlight notable players.
Game:
Brisbane v Richmond (Gabba), Friday 2nd October 7:50pm AEST
Betting:
Brisbane $2.00 Richmond $1.80 -2.5
Weather:
🌦 2020 AFL Weather Forecast: Week 1 Finals
Main GPP’s: DK US$10K, DS A$75K
Article by @aflratingsPete
Brisbane
Lachie Neale BRI (DK $8,800, DS $16,640) is the highest priced player on Friday night & will likely be highly owned, from 2 games against the Tigers in 2019 he averaged 142.5pts* & from 1 game in 2020 he scored 88pts.Â
The Tigers historically don’t put time to opposition midfielders allowing their team structure to stand up, if that scenario plays out on Friday night expect Neale to be able to accumulate disposals at a fast rate.Â
A ceiling type game should be in play.Â
Richmond
Toby Nankervis RIC (DK $5,800, DS $10,760)Â should be left to do most of the ruck duties on Friday night for the Tigers, the ACL injury to Ivan Soldo in Round 17 has turned into a 70.0pt average for Nankervis over the last 2 games.Â
With Stefan Martin & Oscar McInerney likely to split ruck duties at the Lions the role for Nankervis is more identifiable, all 3 are priced similarly but Nankervis has the higher ceiling capability given his clear role.Â
Ownership should be strong.Â
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Value
Mitch Robinson BRIÂ (DK $5,700, DS $9,920)Â averaged 57.7pts in the 2020 H&A season, he recorded a season high 93pts in Round 1 & has averaged 64.5pts from his last 4 games.Â
Robinson averaged 93.6pts* in the 2019 season (Including Finals), despite the low 2020 season return his game is well suited to a contested environment which should exist early in the Qualifying Final against Richmond.Â
There aren’t many pay down reliable options on Friday night, selecting Robinson can offer a slight amount of salary relief.Â
*AFL Games at 20min plus time on per Qtr.
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