2021 AFL DFS: Week 3 Finals Top Plays Demons v Cats

Game:

Melbourne v Geelong (Optus Stadium), Friday 10 September 7:50pm AEST

Betting:

Melbourne 1.48 -11.5 Geelong 2.66

Weather:

🌦 2021 AFL Weather Forecast: Week 3 Finals

Main GPP’s: DK US$3K, DS A$100K

Article by @aflratingsPete

Melbourne

Max Gawn has been outstanding in his last 2 games, he has averaged 137.0pts.

He has a season average of 109.7pts, he has scored 100pts or more in 69.6% of games this season & 120pts or more in 26.1% of games.

In 2 games against Geelong this year Gawn has averaged 135.5pts, his salary on Friday night is high enough & could see moderate ownership only with many preferring Rhys Stanley at the same position.

Gawn should be highly considered in a Melbourne stack.

Geelong

Mitch Duncan could see higher inside midfield usage on Friday night against Melbourne, Brandan Parfitt has been ruled out which does leave vacant a considerable amount of centre bounces to attend.

Duncan was elite earlier this year when he was used through the middle of the ground, he averaged 123.1pts from his opening 7 games of 2021. He is a high ceiling type player that can break a slate quite easily.

If the Cats can control the ball against the Demons, expect Duncan to be involved in that type of ball movement.

Expect moderate ownership at a minimum.

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Value

The salary for Tom Sparrow remains low enough to be a viable option again on Friday night, he has averaged 72.0pts from his last 3 games.

He has been used as a medical sub at times this year, that has contributed to his low salary & fantasy output.

Expect moderate to strong ownership, he can be used as an inside or outside midfield type player.

*Interestingly Quinton Narkle was only named emergency at lunch on Friday, if he were to be a late inclusion he is excellent value based on his low salary & potential fantasy output.

With the injury to Brandan Parfitt, there will be a shift in midfield & centre bounce usage.

If Narkle is a late inclusion he should be highly considered.

2020 AFL DFS Projections

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Photo Credit: Melbourne