Bet Lab: The 2019 Season That Was

Another AFL season is in the books, there were plenty of betting opportunities throughout the year for punters.

Here is how it all went down..

PREMIERSHIP

After an injury interrupted start to their season Richmond won their second Premiership in 3 years, the Tigers were $4.75 favourites at the start of the season however by Round 14 they were out of the Final 8 & $17 to win the Flag.

Richmond eventually finished 3rd on the AFL ladder & made it through to the Grand Final, the Tigers were $1.41 to defeat Giants with a line of -17.5pts.

Richmond won by 89pts.

ROUND 1 PREMIERSHIP ODDS

RICHMOND 4.75
COLLINGWOOD 6
MELBOURNE 7
WEST COAST 7
ADELAIDE 9
ESSENDON 15
GEELONG 15
GWS GIANTS 17
SYDNEY 23
HAWTHORN 34
NTH MELBOURNE 34
PORT ADELAIDE 34
BRISBANE 51
WESTERN BULLDOGS 51
FREMANTLE 81
CARLTON 151
ST. KILDA 151
GOLD COAST 1001

GRAND FINAL MARKET RESULTS

Richmond $1.41
Richmond -17.5
Richmond 40+ $3.75
Norm Smith Medal: Dustin Martin $7.00
1st Goal: Jeremy Cameron $8.50

Dustin Martin 9.jpg
Dustin Martin claimed his second Norm Smith Medal in the 2019 AFL Grand Final

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FINAL 8

Six of the top 8 favourites secured a finals berth in 2019, Melbourne dropped to 17th on the ladder with a 5-17 record after being $1.21 prior to Round 1.

Adelaide fell away in the second half of the season to miss finals, the Crows were $1.04 prior to Round 15.

Brisbane & the Western Bulldogs were clear outside chances to play finals in the pre-season, the Lions were no better than their $3.10 quote during the H&A season while the Bulldogs were $12 prior to Round 15 to play finals.

ROUND 1 FINAL 8 ODDS

RICHMOND 1.08
COLLINGWOOD 1.16
WEST COAST 1.2
MELBOURNE 1.21
ADELAIDE 1.4
ESSENDON 1.63
GEELONG 1.63
GWS GIANTS 1.68
SYDNEY 1.88
HAWTHORN 2.3
NTH MELBOURNE 2.45
PORT ADELAIDE 2.45
BRISBANE 3.1
WESTERN BULLDOGS 4
FREMANTLE 4.5
ST. KILDA 7.5
CARLTON 10
GOLD COAST 51

Marcus Bontempelli 2.jpg
The Western Bulldogs were $12 to play finals prior to Round 15

TOP 4

Richmond & Collingwood were the top choices to finish Top 4, the Magpies had to rely on a last game loss by the Eagles to secure a Top 4 finish.

Brisbane were quoted at $9.00 to finish Top 4 prior to Round 1, the Lions surprised most with their rise up the ladder in 2019.

Geelong were a decent value selection to finish Top 4, the Cats played 9 games at GMHBA Stadium & finished on top of the ladder at the end of the 2019 H&A season.

ROUND 1 TOP 4 ODDS

RICHMOND 1.45
COLLINGWOOD 1.9
WEST COAST 1.95
MELBOURNE 2
ADELAIDE 2.5
ESSENDON 3.25
GEELONG 3.4
GWS GIANTS 3.6
SYDNEY 4.35
HAWTHORN 6
PORT ADELAIDE 6
NTH MELBOURNE 7
BRISBANE 9
WESTERN BULLDOGS 12
FREMANTLE 15
ST. KILDA 21
CARLTON 29
GOLD COAST 251

 

LEAST WINS

Gold Coast were overwhelming favourites at $1.33 to finish last prior to the 2019 H&A season, Carlton started the season 0-5 and were wound into $1.33 pushing the odds of the Suns all the way out to $7.50 prior to Round 5.

After starting the season with a 3-1 record Gold Coast failed to win another game, by Round 17 the Suns were into $1.17 and with a loss to Carlton another wooden spoon was all but locked away.

ROUND 1 LEAST WINS

GOLD COAST 1.33
CARLTON 5
ST. KILDA 8
WESTERN BULLDOGS 21
FREMANTLE 23
BRISBANE 41
NTH MELBOURNE 41
PORT ADELAIDE 41
HAWTHORN 51
SYDNEY 126
ESSENDON 151
GWS GIANTS 151
ADELAIDE 251
GEELONG 251
MELBOURNE 501
WEST COAST 501
COLLINGWOOD 751
RICHMOND 1001

Jarrod Witts 4.jpg
Gold Coast finished last again in 2019.

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BROWNLOW MEDAL

Nat Fyfe won his second Brownlow Medal in 2019, after starting the season as equal favourite at $7.00 he was in the top 5 in betting all season. Fyfe was $3.00 favourite prior to Round 22 but was overtaken by Patrick Dangerfield prior to Brownlow night, Dangerfield was last quoted at $2.45 just before counting began.

Fyfe averaged 29.2 Disposals, 4.8 Marks & 4.0 Tackles in 2019, he played 20 games in the H&A season.

Top 5 Brownlow Votes

Nat Fyfe 33 Votes
Patrick Dangerfield 27
Patrick Cripps 26
Lachie Neale 26
Tim Kelly 24

ROUND 1 BROWNLOW MEDAL ODDS

Nat Fyfe 7
Dustin Martin 7
Patrick Cripps 7.5
Patrick Dangerfield 7.5
Josh Kelly 15
Steele Sidebottom 19
Dayne Beams 19
Angus Brayshaw 21
Clayton Oliver 23
Andrew Gaff 26

Nat Fyfe 2019 Brownlow.jpg

 

COLEMAN MEDAL

Jeremy Cameron wasn’t among the top choices to win the 2019 Coleman Medal, he was at $15 prior to Round 1 however by Round 3 he was favourite at $3.50. Cameron remained favourite all year & was into $1.12 prior to Round 20, he missed games in Rounds 20 & 22 and was overtaken by Ben Brown ($1.12) prior to the final round of the season.

Brown kicked 2 Goals in his final game of the year, Cameron went to work against the Suns later that night kicking 9 Goals to win by 3.

2019 Top 5 Coleman Medal

Jeremy Cameron 67 Goals
Ben Brown 64
Tom Lynch 54
Jack Darling 54
Charlie Cameron 54

ROUND 1 COLEMAN MEDAL ODDS

Josh Kennedy (WCE) 4.5
Lance Franklin 6
Ben Brown 6.5
Tom Lynch (Rich) 9
Tom McDonald 10
Jack Riewoldt 13
Jesse Hogan 13
Tom Hawkins 15
Jeremy Cameron 15
Jack Darling 23


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RISING STAR AWARD

It was hard to dismiss the pre-season form & hype for Sam Walsh, at the start of the season he was already at $2.75 & by Round 6 he was wound into $1.33 to win the 2019 Rising Star Award. At Round 22 Walsh was $1.01 with no quote leading into Round 23, he secured all but 1 maximum votes in the award.

Walsh averaged 25.1 Disposals, 5.1 Marks & 3.2 Tackles, he played in all 22 games for the Blues.

Connor Rozee was $26 to win in 2019, he finished 2nd in the award.

ROUND 1 RISING STAR AWARD ODDS

Sam Walsh 2.75
Will Setterfield  13
Jordan Clark 14
Luke Davies-Uniacke 16
Bailey Smith 17
Esava Ratugolea 17
Willem Drew 17
Darcy Fogarty 19
Jack Lukosius 21
Sam Taylor 23

*All odds via BetEasy

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