2020 Pre-season training in well underway, it was just under 3 months ago Richmond secured their 2nd AFL Premiership in 3 years. The Trade period is over, the AFL Draft is now complete & players are settling in for another season at the highest level.
2020 Premiership markets have been live since the day after the 2019 Grand Final, there is no surprise the Tigers claim outright favouritism at this stage but once the H&A season begins market fluctuations are all but guaranteed.
This time last year Richmond were $4.75 favourites to win the 2019 Flag, early injuries blew out those odds to $19 at Round 4 and even as late as Round 15 the Tigers were $15.
By September 28th at 5pm Richmond were Premiers again.
2020 AFL PREMIERSHIP CHANCES
The Tigers remarkably still have plenty of upside, Jack Riewoldt & Tom Lynch have played only 13 games together while the return of Alex Rance will further enhance an already stingy defensive group.
Richmond have won 74.2% of H&A games since the beginning of the 2017 season, there is no current reason why they won’t be contending at the end of 2020 again.
WEST COAST $7.00
Back to back losses at the end of the 2019 H&A season attributed to an early exit from the Finals for West Coast, the Eagles gave up plenty of draft equity to secure Tim Kelly who will no doubt add to the already deep midfield group.
A full/near full season from the likes of Nic Naitanui & Josh Kennedy should see West Coast right in contention at the pointy end of the season, the Eagles have won 77.8% of games at Optus Stadium in the last 2 years.
The Magpies came up empty again after a disappointing Preliminary Final loss to GWS in 2019, the playing list pretty much has remained together for another tilt at a Premiership in 2020 but the limited Top 4 spots available will be at a premium.
The Magpies can’t afford another injury riddled season, their ageing midfield was questionable in the 2019 Preliminary Final loss and needs to be fresh at the right end of the season.
GWS GIANTS $8.50
Despite an embarrassing Grand Finals loss the Giants are very well placed to challenge deep into September again in 2020, the playing list is littered with high end talent & is quite deep at nearly every position.
A healthy GWS 2020 season could be scary for opposing teams, it won’t be a surprise to see them back in another Grand Final next season.
The Lions jumped straight into the Top 4 last season & fell short in the Finals, the list is strong enough for another Finals appearance but a more difficult H&A fixture exists.
The Cats play 9 games at GMHBA Stadium in 2020 but 4 of those opponents had a positive win percentage in the 2019 H&A season plus throw in Melbourne, the path to the Finals will be much tougher for this experienced list.
WESTERN BULLDOGS $12.00
The Bulldogs have bounced back after a mini rebuild following their 2016 Premiership success, there will be slip-ups along the way in 2020 but they should be in a fight for a Finals spot next season.
Do not underestimate what the Hawks have done in the way of list management over the last 3 years, they cleared enough salary cap space to recruit premium players & used the draft to target position shortfalls in their list. Don’t look now, but the Hawks are on the way back up the ladder.
A forgetful 2019 season has turned into promise heading into the 2020 H&A season, the mistakes of last season need to be rectified in order to challenge again. An unhealthy list was part of the problem in 2019.
Article by @aflratings
*Odds via BetEasy
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