Fantasy: Round 23 Team Motivation

Team motivation in the final round of the H&A season can have a direct influence on fantasy output, what seemingly looks like a straight up regular round of football could be anything but.

Teams in the hunt for a spot in September as well as teams trying to host home finals will of course have high motivation this week, but as Round 23 starts to play out over the weekend scenarios & opportunities start to dry up or even open up based on results.

Again, this is no normal round of football & taking into account certain scenarios can assist in making correct fantasy decisions this week.

Here are a few things to keep in mind for Round 23:

Article by @aflratingsPete

Round 23 Team Motivation

Collingwood v Essendon (MCG)

Collingwood motivation: High

The Magpies are very much alive for a Top 4 spot, a win & a loss by either Richmond or West Coast will see them secure a Top 4 position. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Essendon motivation: Moderate-Low

The Bombers have finally qualified for finals but are still dealing with injuries, a win against the Magpies could see them jump to 6th but that is unlikely considering GWS play Gold Coast on Saturday night. A win for the Bombers on Friday night will likely see them travel in Week 1 Finals against the Giants, a loss may even see them travel for the same game if the Bulldogs lose on Sunday. There are multiple other possibilities for Essendon, given the health of their playing list Round 23 may not be a high priority. Be cautious for fantasy.

Round 23 Weather Forecast

Sydney v St Kilda (SCG)

Sydney motivation: Moderate

The Swans will have a Lance Franklin & possibly Jarrad McVeigh narrative heading into Round 23, finals haven’t been on the agenda for a while. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

St Kilda motivation: Moderate

The Saints are still evolving under interim coach Brett Ratten, there has been no drop off in recent weeks. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

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Lance Franklin 4.jpg
Lance Franklin will play game 300 in Round 23

Nth Melbourne v Melbourne (BA)

Nth Melbourne motivation: Moderate

The Kangaroos were solid last week against Port Adelaide & face a Melbourne team limping to the finish line in poor form. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Melbourne motivation: Low

The end of the season can’t come quick enough for the Demons, injuries have impacted their season significantly. Be cautious for fantasy.

2019 Coleman Medal: Round 23

Geelong v Carlton (GMHBA)

Geelong motivation: High

The Cats will lock in a home Final & maybe even top spot with a win in Round 23, the Blues have been highly competitive under new coach David Teague which should have all Geelong players as sharp as ever this season. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Carlton motivation: Moderate

The Blues have a 7-3 record since Teague was installed as coach & have turned from development mode to a highly competitive mode. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

By The Numbers: Points Per Inside 50 Round 22

Gold Coast v GWS Giants (MS)

Gold Coast motivation: Low

It has been another long season for the Suns, they have averaged 336.3 Disposals since Round 15 (Rank 18). Proceed as normal for fantasy.

GWS Giants motivation: High (If Essendon win) Low (If Essendon lose)

The Giants will be virtually locked into 6th spot & a home Final if Essendon lose on Friday night, they have made 6 late changes over the last 5 weeks & will likely prioritise Finals over what looks like a meaningless game. Be cautious for fantasy.

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Jeremy Cameron
Jeremy Cameron will need to chance down Ben Brown to win the Coleman Medal

West Coast v Hawthorn (OS)

West Coast motivation: High

An Eagles loss could see them slip to 5th spot, there are still opportunities available higher on the ladder based on other results. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Hawthorn motivation: High

A win for the Hawks will see them move into the Top 8 on Saturday night with Sunday results still pending. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Bet Lab: Round 23 Markets

Western Bulldogs v Adelaide (MARS)

Western Bulldogs motivation: High

A win for the Bulldogs will secure the last spot available in the 2019 Finals series. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Adelaide motivation: High

The Crows will need a win and likely a decent bump in percentage to qualify for Finals, motivation may alter during the game if the scoreboard is not in their favour. Be cautious for fantasy.

Round 23 Weather Forecast

Richmond v Brisbane (MCG)

Richmond motivation: High

The Tigers will need to win (if Collingwood win) as to retain a position in the Top 4, other higher results on the ladder are possible based on previous Geelong & West Coast results. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

Brisbane motivation: High

If the Lions win they will finish in 1st place on the Ladder, only a significant loss could see them slip out of the Top 2. This should be 4 Qtrs of motivation for Brisbane, other (Geelong/West Coast) results might reduce what is required against the Tigers. Proceed as normal for fantasy.

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Dustin Martin 7.jpg
Dustin Martin will look to keep the Tigers in the Top 4, maybe even a Top 2 position

Port Adelaide v Fremantle (AO)

Port Adelaide motivation: High (If Finals chances are alive) Low (If unable to make Finals)

The last game of the H&A season could prove to be the most volatile, the variance in output for Port Adelaide is wide. Be cautious for fantasy.

Fremantle motivation: Moderate-Low

Can the Dockers provide some type of fight after the removal of coach Ross Lyon this week, players heads could be still spinning from his departure. Be cautious for fantasy.

There are multiple possibilities heading into Round 23, mitigating risk from a fantasy perspective in games where there could be some type of volatile/variance in scoring may be optimal.

Article by @aflratingsPete

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