2021 AFL DFS: Round 20 Top Plays Saints v Blues

2021 AFL DFS: Round 20 Top Plays Saints v Blues

Game:

St Kilda v Carlton (Marvel Stadium), Friday 30 July 7:50pm AEST

Betting:

St Kilda 1.49 -12.5 Carlton 2.63

Weather:

🌦 2021 AFL Weather Forecast: Round 20

Main GPP’s: DK US$1.5K, DS A$75K

Article by @aflratingsPete

St Kilda

Jack Steele should be in a decent position to post another ceiling type game on Friday night, he is averaging 118.4pts this season with high midfield & centre bounce usage. 

He has scored 100pts or more in 83.3% of games this season, he has scored 120pts or more in 44.4% of games. 

Despite the high price tag, expect strong ownership. 

Carlton

The last time Sam Walsh was shut down in a game against GWS in Round 14 he averaged 134.5pts from his next 3 games, he was restricted to just 72pts by the Kangaroos last week. 

The Saints could run with multiple options against Walsh on Friday night, if he spends most of his time on the outside he should be able to accumulate disposals at a high rate. 

Ownership for Walsh might only be moderate on Friday night against the Saints due to a threat of another low score, it might provide an opportunity to remain solid with him. 

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Value

Matthew Kennedy should see a bump in midfield usage of Friday night with the return of not 1 but 2 key forwards for the Blues, he was used forward last week because of a clear lack of tall options the Blues had.

He averaged 97.6pts in his previous 5 games prior to last week, he was used at 57.5% of centre bounces over the same period. 

Expect moderate to strong ownership. 

2020 AFL DFS Projections

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Photo Credit: St Kilda

 

2021 Teams: Round 20

2021 AFL Weather Forecast: Round 20