DFS Preview: Week 2 Finals Lions v Giants

GAME

Brisbane v GWS Giants

Gabba

Friday 7:25pm (AEST)

WEATHER

☀ 12-29 Sunny

Week 2 Finals Weather Forecast

DFS Projections Week 2 Finals: Lions v Giants

Lachie Neale 1.jpg
Lachie Neale has scored fewer than 80pts in 17.4% of games this season

INJURIES

BRISBANE

Mitch Robinson (Hamstring) Out

GWS GIANTS

Brett Deledio (Calf) Out

BETTING

Brisbane $1.65 -7.5
GWS Giants $2.30
Total Match Points: 166.5

Bet Lab: Week 2 Finals Markets

Article by @aflratingsPete

 

GAME & OWNERSHIP THEORY

Brisbane are not a heavy disposal team & are quite efficient moving the ball into their forward line, the Giants averaged 383.9 Disposals in the 2019 H&A season (Rank 5).

The Giants targeted several key players from the Bulldogs last week & are likely to do the same against Brisbane on Saturday, Matt deBoer attended the 3rd most team CBA’s (Centre Bounce Attendances) last week.

Ownership on Dayne Zorko & Lachie Neale may be reduced due to the potential of being heavily tagged, Neale has scored fewer than 80pts in 17.4% of games this season.

GWS will likely keep a tight window on CBA’s this week, Josh Kelly could see a bump in team CBA’s.

Lachie Whitfield has scored 100pts or more in 82.4% of games this season, he has averaged 112.0pts from his last 8 games.

 

2019 Win Percentage vs Top 8

Brisbane 44.4% (Rank 8)
GWS Giants 50.0% (Rank 5)

Article by @aflratingsPete

Tim Taranto 2
Tim Taranto attended an equal team high 22 CBA’s last week

TRENDS & OPPORTUNITIES

BRISBANE

The Lions averaged 91.1pts in the H&A Season (Rank 1).

The Lions are an average of +3.8 Inside 50 Differential this season, +6.9 Inside 50 Differential at the Gabba.

The Lions average 6.4 Disposals per Inside 50 in 2019 (Rank 1), they average 6.2 Disposals per Inside 50 at the Gabba.

The Lions averaged 351.9 Disposals in the 2019 H&A season (Rank 17).

GWS GIANTS

The Giants conceded an average of 349.6 Disposals in the 2019 H&A season (Rank 1).

The Giants conceded an average of 6.9 Disposals per Inside 50 entry (Rank Eq16).

The Giants conceded an average of 20.4 scoring shots in the 2019 H&A season (Rank Eq3).

The Giants have averaged 107.1pts in winning games & 59.9pts in losing games this season.

 

WEEK 1 FINALS CENTRE BOUNCE ATTENDANCES

BRISBANE

24 Lachie Neale
22 Jarryd Lyons
14 Dayne Zorko
10 Hugh McCluggage
9 Jarrod Berry
6 Cameron Rayner
3 Lincoln McCarthy
1 Mitch Robinson, Charlie Cameron

GWS GIANTS

22 Jacob Hopper, Tim Taranto
21 Matt de Boer
12 Josh Kelly
7 Toby Greene

WEEK 1 FINALS KICK-INS

BRISBANE

4 Daniel Rich

GWS GIANTS

5 Heath Shaw
1 Aidan Corr, Zac Langdon

DFS Projections Week 2 Finals: Lions v Giants

 

LAST TIME THEY MET TOP SCORES

BRISBANE

134 Lachie Neale
121 Dayne Zorko
116 Hugh McCluggage
109 Lincoln McCarthy
106 Stefan Martin

GWS GIANTS

146 Stephen Coniglio
120 Zach Williams
106 Jacob Hopper
101 Brett Deledio
98 Harrison Himmelberg

Round 16, 2019 Giants Stadium

Article by @aflratingsPete

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